Viendo archivo del martes, 1 diciembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Dec 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 336 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Dec 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class
flare on days one, two, and three (02 Dec, 03 Dec, 04 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 490km/s at 01/1914Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
01/1744Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
30/2217Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 6 pfu at 01/0655Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 594 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (02 Dec) and quiet levels
on days two and three (03 Dec, 04 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Dec a 04 Dec
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Dec 104 Previsto 02 Dec-04 Dec 105/100/095 Media de 90 Días 01 Dec 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Nov 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Dec 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Dec-04 Dec 007/008-005/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Dec a 04 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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