Viendo archivo del jueves, 17 diciembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Dec 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 352 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Dec 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (18
Dec, 19 Dec, 20 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 292 km/s at 17/1810Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
16/2318Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
17/1432Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 239 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (18 Dec, 19 Dec, 20
Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Dec a 20 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Dec 082 Previsto 18 Dec-20 Dec 082/082/082 Media de 90 Días 17 Dec 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Dec 003/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Dec 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Dec-20 Dec 005/005-005/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Dec a 20 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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