Viendo archivo del viernes, 18 diciembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Dec 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 353 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Dec 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (19 Dec, 20 Dec, 21 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 301 km/s at 18/1807Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
18/1113Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
18/1356Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 251 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (19 Dec, 20 Dec) and quiet to
active levels on day three (21 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Dec a 21 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Dec 082 Previsto 19 Dec-21 Dec 082/082/082 Media de 90 Días 18 Dec 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Dec 002/000 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Dec 002/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Dec-21 Dec 005/005-006/005-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Dec a 21 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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