Viendo archivo del sábado, 26 diciembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Dec 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 361 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Dec 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (27
Dec, 28 Dec, 29 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 460 km/s at 25/2132Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1006 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (27 Dec, 28 Dec) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (29 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Dec a 29 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Dec 088 Previsto 27 Dec-29 Dec 088/088/088 Media de 90 Días 26 Dec 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Dec 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Dec 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Dec-29 Dec 005/005-006/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Dec a 29 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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