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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Jan 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 22 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jan 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (23
Jan, 24 Jan, 25 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 358 km/s at 22/1900Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
22/1627Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
22/1433Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 120 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (23 Jan) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (24 Jan, 25 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jan a 25 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jan 078 Previsto 23 Jan-25 Jan 078/078/078 Media de 90 Días 22 Jan 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jan 002/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jan 003/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jan-25 Jan 006/005-007/007-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jan a 25 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 20% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 11/01/2026 | M3.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 11/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 100.8 -23.2 |
| Last 30 days | 99.2 -9.4 |