Viendo archivo del domingo, 10 enero 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Jan 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 10 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Jan 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (11 Jan, 12 Jan, 13 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 330 km/s at 10/0958Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
10/1130Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
10/1804Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 210 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (11 Jan) and quiet levels
on days two and three (12 Jan, 13 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Jan a 13 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Jan 073 Previsto 11 Jan-13 Jan 074/074/074 Media de 90 Días 10 Jan 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Jan 002/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Jan 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Jan-13 Jan 007/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Jan a 13 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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