Viendo archivo del sábado, 6 febrero 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Feb 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 37 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Feb 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (07 Feb, 08 Feb, 09 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 473 km/s at 06/1905Z. Total IMF reached 13
nT at 06/1804Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
06/1844Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1263 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (07 Feb, 08 Feb) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (09 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Feb a 09 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Feb 073 Previsto 07 Feb-09 Feb 073/073/073 Media de 90 Días 06 Feb 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Feb 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Feb 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Feb-09 Feb 014/016-009/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Feb a 09 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 35% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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