Viendo archivo del martes, 9 marzo 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Mar 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 68 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Mar 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
09/1235Z from Region 2808 (N19E68). There are currently 2 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (10
Mar, 11 Mar, 12 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 531 km/s at 08/2324Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1413 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (10 Mar, 11 Mar) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (12 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Mar a 12 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Mar 084 Previsto 10 Mar-12 Mar 082/082/082 Media de 90 Días 09 Mar 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Mar 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Mar 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Mar-12 Mar 005/005-006/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Mar a 12 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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