Viendo archivo del miércoles, 10 marzo 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Mar 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 69 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Mar 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (11
Mar, 12 Mar, 13 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 424 km/s at 10/0735Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
10/0147Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -1 nT at
10/1603Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1458 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (11 Mar, 12 Mar) and quiet to
active levels on day three (13 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Mar a 13 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Mar 079 Previsto 11 Mar-13 Mar 079/079/079 Media de 90 Días 10 Mar 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Mar 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Mar 003/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Mar-13 Mar 006/005-006/005-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Mar a 13 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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