Viendo archivo del viernes, 19 marzo 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Mar 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 78 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Mar 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (20 Mar, 21 Mar, 22 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 345 km/s at 19/0023Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 19/2057Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
19/0915Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1198 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on days one and two (20 Mar, 21
Mar) and quiet to minor storm levels on day three (22 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Mar a 22 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Mar 074 Previsto 20 Mar-22 Mar 074/074/072 Media de 90 Días 19 Mar 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Mar 004/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Mar 007/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Mar-22 Mar 018/024-016/022-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Mar a 22 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 35% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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