Viendo archivo del martes, 23 marzo 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Mar 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 82 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Mar 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (24
Mar, 25 Mar, 26 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 559 km/s at 22/2140Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 10083 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (24 Mar), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (25 Mar) and quiet levels on day three (26 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Mar a 26 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Mar 079 Previsto 24 Mar-26 Mar 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 23 Mar 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Mar 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Mar 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Mar-26 Mar 010/012-008/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Mar a 26 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 20% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 16/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 1 día |
| 2026 | 1 día (2%) |
| Tramo actual | 2 días |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| febrero 2026 | 86.1 -26.5 |
| Last 30 days | 95.9 -24.7 |