Viendo archivo del viernes, 2 abril 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Apr 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 92 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Apr 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (03 Apr, 04 Apr, 05 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 406 km/s at 02/0914Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 02/1939Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
02/1515Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1164 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (03 Apr, 04 Apr) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (05 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Apr a 05 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Apr 072 Previsto 03 Apr-05 Apr 072/070/070 Media de 90 Días 02 Apr 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Apr 008/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Apr 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Apr-05 Apr 005/005-006/005-006/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Apr a 05 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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