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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Apr 29 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 119 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Apr 2021

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one and two (30 Apr, 01 May) and expected to be very low on day three (02 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 363 km/s at 29/1910Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 29/1948Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 29/1246Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1076 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (30 Apr, 01 May) and unsettled levels on day three (02 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Apr a 02 May
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       29 Apr 077
  Previsto   30 Apr-02 May 077/075/072
  Media de 90 Días        29 Apr 076

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 28 Apr  004/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 29 Apr  006/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 30 Apr-02 May  007/008-006/008-011/015

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Apr a 02 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%25%35%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor25%25%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa30%40%45%

All times in UTC

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