Viendo archivo del jueves, 13 mayo 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 May 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 133 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 May 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (14 May,
15 May, 16 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 544 km/s at 12/2302Z. Total IMF reached 17
nT at 12/2112Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
13/0027Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 128 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (14 May) and quiet levels
on days two and three (15 May, 16 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 May a 16 May
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 May 075 Previsto 14 May-16 May 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 13 May 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 May 025/037 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 May 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 May-16 May 008/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 May a 16 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 28/03/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 25/03/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| febrero 2026 | 78.2 -34.3 |
| marzo 2026 | 85.2 +7 |
| Last 30 days | 85.2 +8.6 |
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