Viendo archivo del lunes, 24 mayo 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 May 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 144 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 May 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class
flare on day one (25 May) and expected to be very low with a chance for
a C-class flares on days two and three (26 May, 27 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 404 km/s at 23/2248Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1262 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (25 May), active to
major storm levels on day two (26 May) and unsettled to minor storm
levels on day three (27 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 May a 27 May
| Clase M | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 May 073 Previsto 25 May-27 May 073/073/072 Media de 90 Días 24 May 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 May 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 May 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 May-27 May 011/018-028/048-015/022
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 May a 27 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 25% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 80% | 65% |
All times in UTC
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