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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 May 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 143 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 May 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
22/2136Z from Region 2824 (N21E13). There are currently 2 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (24 May, 25 May,
26 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 474 km/s at 22/2144Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 794 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (24 May), quiet to minor storm levels
on day two (25 May) and unsettled to major storm levels on day three (26
May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 May a 26 May
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 May 079 Previsto 24 May-26 May 079/079/079 Media de 90 Días 23 May 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 May 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 May 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 May-26 May 006/005-011/008-028/042
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 May a 26 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 35% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 50% | 65% |
All times in UTC
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