Viendo archivo del jueves, 10 junio 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Jun 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 161 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Jun 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
10/0642Z. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (11
Jun, 12 Jun, 13 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 372 km/s at 09/2326Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
10/1641Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
10/2054Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 151 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (11 Jun, 12 Jun, 13
Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Jun a 13 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Jun 073 Previsto 11 Jun-13 Jun 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 10 Jun 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Jun 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Jun 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Jun-13 Jun 006/005-005/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Jun a 13 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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