Viendo archivo del jueves, 12 agosto 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Aug 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 224 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Aug 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (13 Aug, 14 Aug, 15 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 448 km/s at 12/0353Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
12/1559Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
12/1418Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 158 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (13 Aug,
14 Aug, 15 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Aug a 15 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Aug 074 Previsto 13 Aug-15 Aug 073/073/072 Media de 90 Días 12 Aug 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Aug 007/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Aug 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Aug-15 Aug 006/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Aug a 15 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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