Viendo archivo del miércoles, 8 septiembre 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Sep 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 251 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Sep 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C8 event observed at
08/1730Z from Region 2866 (S18E07). There are currently 5 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (09
Sep, 10 Sep, 11 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 440 km/s at 08/1028Z. Total IMF reached 12
nT at 08/0850Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at
08/0930Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 277 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (09 Sep) and quiet levels
on days two and three (10 Sep, 11 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Sep a 11 Sep
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Sep 100 Previsto 09 Sep-11 Sep 100/100/100 Media de 90 Días 08 Sep 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Sep 010/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Sep 014/016 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Sep-11 Sep 007/008-006/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Sep a 11 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 09/04/2026 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/04/2026 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2026 | 85.9 +7.7 |
| abril 2026 | 107.7 +21.8 |
| Last 30 days | 100 +44.8 |
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