Viendo archivo del viernes, 27 agosto 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Aug 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 239 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Aug 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
26/2322Z from Region 2860 (S30E14). There are currently 4 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (28 Aug,
29 Aug, 30 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 525 km/s at 27/1906Z. Total IMF reached 16
nT at 27/1315Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -15 nT at
27/1847Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 161 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on days one, two, and three (28
Aug, 29 Aug, 30 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Aug a 30 Aug
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Aug 090 Previsto 28 Aug-30 Aug 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 27 Aug 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Aug 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Aug 018/022 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Aug-30 Aug 012/015-011/018-022/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Aug a 30 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 35% | 40% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 20% | 25% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 75% | 80% |
All times in UTC
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