Viendo archivo del martes, 12 octubre 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Oct 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 285 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Oct 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class
flare on days one, two, and three (13 Oct, 14 Oct, 15 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to major storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 521 km/s at 12/0703Z. Total IMF
reached 17 nT at 12/0553Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-16 nT at 12/0158Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 322 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (13 Oct), quiet levels on day
two (14 Oct) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (15 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Oct a 15 Oct
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Oct 084 Previsto 13 Oct-15 Oct 084/082/082 Media de 90 Días 12 Oct 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Oct 015/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Oct 032/051 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Oct-15 Oct 013/015-005/005-006/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Oct a 15 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 20% | 25% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
miércoles, 31 diciembre 2025
Happy New Year! Celebrate with an M7.1 solar flare!
domingo, 7 diciembre 2025
M8.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
lunes, 1 diciembre 2025
X1.9 solar flare, Coronal hole faces Earth
Últimos mensajes del foro
Geminid Meteor Shower 33Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 77AR14324 74Happy new year 14CME from M7.1 Dec. 31st 10
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.2 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| noviembre 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| Last 30 days | 114.3 +16.2 |