Viendo archivo del lunes, 8 noviembre 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Nov 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 312 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Nov 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
08/0751Z from Region 2895 (N26E50). There are currently 3 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (09 Nov,
10 Nov, 11 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 490 km/s at 07/2109Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
08/1843Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
08/1944Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 3319 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (09 Nov, 10 Nov, 11
Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Nov a 11 Nov
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Nov 088 Previsto 09 Nov-11 Nov 090/090/092 Media de 90 Días 08 Nov 087
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Nov 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Nov 002/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Nov a 11 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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