Viendo archivo del viernes, 12 noviembre 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Nov 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 316 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Nov 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (13 Nov,
14 Nov, 15 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 451 km/s at 11/2202Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
12/0345Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
12/0023Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 895 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (13 Nov, 14 Nov, 15
Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Nov a 15 Nov
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Nov 083 Previsto 13 Nov-15 Nov 083/081/081 Media de 90 Días 12 Nov 087
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Nov 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Nov 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Nov-15 Nov 005/005-005/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Nov a 15 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 17/01/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 17/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
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