Viendo archivo del martes, 23 noviembre 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Nov 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 327 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Nov 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (24
Nov, 25 Nov, 26 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 566 km/s at 23/1344Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 23/0707Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
23/0833Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1093 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (24 Nov, 25 Nov, 26
Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Nov a 26 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Nov 080 Previsto 24 Nov-26 Nov 080/082/082 Media de 90 Días 23 Nov 087
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Nov 007/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Nov 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Nov-26 Nov 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Nov a 26 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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