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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Feb 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 38 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Feb 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
07/1239Z. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (08 Feb,
09 Feb, 10 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 538 km/s at 06/2258Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 6345 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (08 Feb), quiet to minor storm levels
on day two (09 Feb) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (10
Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Feb a 10 Feb
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Feb 127 Previsto 08 Feb-10 Feb 125/122/120 Media de 90 Días 07 Feb 101
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Feb 012/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Feb 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Feb-10 Feb 006/005-010/014-018/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Feb a 10 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 45% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 60% | 70% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
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| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.11 |
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