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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Mar 06 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 65 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Mar 2022

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at 06/0237Z from Region 2962 (N26E43). There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 Mar, 08 Mar, 09 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 604 km/s at 06/0036Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 05/2357Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 06/0010Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3550 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (07 Mar), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (08 Mar) and quiet levels on day three (09 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Mar a 09 Mar
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       06 Mar 116
  Previsto   07 Mar-09 Mar 116/116/115
  Media de 90 Días        06 Mar 107

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 05 Mar  019/025
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 06 Mar  014/017
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar  011/012-011/010-005/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Mar a 09 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%20%10%
Tormenta Menor10%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor30%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa40%25%15%

All times in UTC

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