Viendo archivo del miércoles, 16 febrero 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Feb 16 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 47 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Feb 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (17 Feb,
18 Feb, 19 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 414 km/s at 15/2300Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
16/1608Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
16/1846Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 9022 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (17 Feb, 18 Feb) and quiet to
active levels on day three (19 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Feb a 19 Feb
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Feb 103 Previsto 17 Feb-19 Feb 105/105/108 Media de 90 Días 16 Feb 104
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Feb 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Feb 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Feb-19 Feb 006/005-006/005-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Feb a 19 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 55% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 05/02/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| febrero 2026 | 137.7 +25.1 |
| Last 30 days | 126 +20.7 |