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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Mar 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 60 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Mar 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (02 Mar,
03 Mar, 04 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 557 km/s at 01/1506Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 28/2136Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
28/2313Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 216 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (02 Mar, 04
Mar) and quiet levels on day two (03 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Mar a 04 Mar
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Mar 099 Previsto 02 Mar-04 Mar 105/105/105 Media de 90 Días 01 Mar 105
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Feb 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Mar 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Mar-04 Mar 008/008-005/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Mar a 04 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 20% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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