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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Mar 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 61 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Mar 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
02/1739Z from Region 2958 (N20E24). There are currently 5 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (03 Mar, 04 Mar,
05 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 525 km/s at 01/2210Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 190 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (03 Mar), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (04 Mar) and quiet to active levels on day three (05 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Mar a 05 Mar
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Mar 110 Previsto 03 Mar-05 Mar 115/115/110 Media de 90 Días 02 Mar 106
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Mar 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Mar 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Mar-05 Mar 005/005-007/008-011/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Mar a 05 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 25% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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