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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Apr 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 93 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Apr 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C6 event observed at
03/1309Z from Region 2976 (N20W78). There are currently 8 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on day one (04 Apr) and likely to be
low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days two and three (05
Apr, 06 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 541 km/s at 02/2322Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 03/1553Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
02/2159Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 14 pfu at 02/2110Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2596 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (04 Apr, 05 Apr)
and quiet levels on day three (06 Apr). Protons greater than 10 Mev have
a chance of crossing threshold on day one (04 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Apr a 06 Apr
| Clase M | 65% | 15% | 10% |
| Clase X | 25% | 05% | 01% |
| Protón | 50% | 05% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Apr 140 Previsto 04 Apr-06 Apr 130/120/120 Media de 90 Días 03 Apr 112
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Apr 019/022 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Apr 011/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Apr-06 Apr 007/010-009/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Apr a 06 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 30% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
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