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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Apr 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 92 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Apr 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M4 event observed at
02/1744Z from Region 2975 (N15W78). There are currently 7 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on day one (03 Apr) and expected to be
low with a chance for M-class flares on days two and three (04 Apr, 05
Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 591 km/s at 02/0342Z. Total IMF
reached 11 nT at 02/0042Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-9 nT at 02/0102Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 32 pfu at 02/1600Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV
at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1178 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (03 Apr) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (04 Apr, 05 Apr). Protons greater
than 10 Mev are expected to cross threshold on day one (03 Apr) and have
a chance of crossing threshold on day two (04 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Apr a 05 Apr
| Clase M | 70% | 35% | 25% |
| Clase X | 25% | 05% | 01% |
| Protón | 90% | 25% | 05% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Apr 143 Previsto 03 Apr-05 Apr 130/120/115 Media de 90 Días 02 Apr 111
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Apr 012/016 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Apr 015/019 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Apr-05 Apr 011/015-007/010-009/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Apr a 05 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 55% | 40% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 12/12/2025 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
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