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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 May 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 126 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 May 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at
06/1622Z from Region 3004 (S16W42). There are currently 3 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 May, 08
May, 09 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 445 km/s at 06/0338Z. Total IMF reached 17 nT at
06/0301Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
06/0553Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1354 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (07 May, 08 May)
and quiet levels on day three (09 May). Protons have a slight chance of
crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (07 May, 08 May, 09 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 May a 09 May
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 May 119 Previsto 07 May-09 May 118/118/116 Media de 90 Días 06 May 119
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 May 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 May 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 May-09 May 007/008-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 May a 09 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 30% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
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| enero 2026 | 119 -5 |
| Last 30 days | 119 +0.7 |