Viendo archivo del sábado, 7 mayo 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 May 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 127 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 May 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
07/0605Z from Region 3006 (S29E23). There are currently 3 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (08 May, 09
May, 10 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 625 km/s at 07/0429Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
07/1112Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
07/1112Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1408 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (08 May, 10
May) and quiet levels on day two (09 May). Protons have a slight chance
of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (08 May, 09 May, 10
May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 May a 10 May
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 May 118 Previsto 08 May-10 May 118/116/110 Media de 90 Días 07 May 119
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 May NA/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 May 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 May-10 May 008/008-005/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 May a 10 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 10% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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