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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Jul 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 184 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Jul 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (04 Jul,
05 Jul, 06 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 348 km/s at 03/1052Z. Total IMF reached 11
nT at 03/1308Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
03/1656Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 167 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (04 Jul), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (05 Jul) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (06
Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Jul a 06 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Jul 102 Previsto 04 Jul-06 Jul 110/112/112 Media de 90 Días 03 Jul 126
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Jul 017/022 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Jul 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Jul-06 Jul 005/005-007/008-017/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Jul a 06 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 25% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 40% | 65% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/03/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
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