Viendo archivo del sábado, 2 julio 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Jul 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 183 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jul 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (03 Jul,
04 Jul, 05 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 364 km/s at 02/0622Z. Total IMF
reached 13 nT at 02/1004Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-13 nT at 02/0403Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 2304 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (03 Jul, 05
Jul) and quiet levels on day two (04 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jul a 05 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jul 100 Previsto 03 Jul-05 Jul 102/108/110 Media de 90 Días 02 Jul 126
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jul 008/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jul 016/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul 008/008-005/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jul a 05 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 10% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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