Viendo archivo del miércoles, 20 julio 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Jul 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 201 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Jul 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
19/2254Z from Region 3056 (S16W57). There are currently 8 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one and two (21 Jul, 22
Jul) and likely to be low on day three (23 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 471 km/s at 19/2115Z. Total IMF reached 10
nT at 20/0614Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
19/2115Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1915 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (21 Jul) and unsettled
to minor storm levels on days two and three (22 Jul, 23 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Jul a 23 Jul
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Jul 133 Previsto 21 Jul-23 Jul 130/130/120 Media de 90 Días 20 Jul 130
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Jul 019/025 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Jul 009/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Jul-23 Jul 017/022-017/022-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Jul a 23 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 70% | 70% | 70% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
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