Viendo archivo del jueves, 21 julio 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Jul 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 202 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Jul 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C5 event observed at
21/0111Z from Region 3060 (N14W20). There are currently 9 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (22 Jul,
23 Jul, 24 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 466 km/s at 21/1658Z. Total IMF
reached 21 nT at 21/1631Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-17 nT at 21/1527Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 1333 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (22 Jul), unsettled to
major storm levels on day two (23 Jul) and quiet to active levels on day
three (24 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Jul a 24 Jul
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Jul 122 Previsto 22 Jul-24 Jul 120/118/118 Media de 90 Días 21 Jul 130
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Jul 007/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Jul 016/023 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Jul-24 Jul 017/020-029/040-011/014
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Jul a 24 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 35% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 25% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 75% | 79% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 11/02/2026 | M1.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
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