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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Aug 22 2245 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 233 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Aug 2022 CORIA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C5 event observed at
22/1409Z from Region 3085 (N30E01). There are currently 3 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
There is a chance for C-class flare on
days one, two, and three (23 Aug, 24 Aug, 25 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 623 km/s at 22/0003Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 21/2355Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
22/0032Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 3820 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (23 Aug), quiet to
unsettled levels on day two (24 Aug) and quiet levels on day three (25
Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Aug a 25 Aug
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Aug 097 Previsto 23 Aug-25 Aug 100/100/095 Media de 90 Días 21 Aug 118
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Aug 013/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Aug 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Aug-25 Aug 007/008-008/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Aug a 25 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 30% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
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| Último evento clase M | 12/12/2025 | M1.1 |
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