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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Aug 23 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 235 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Aug 2022

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 23/0211Z from an unnumbered plage region in the southern hemisphere. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (24 Aug, 25 Aug, 26 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 550 km/s at 23/0220Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 23/0049Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at 23/2100Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 4363 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (24 Aug, 25 Aug, 26 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Aug a 26 Aug
Clase M15%15%15%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       23 Aug 101
  Previsto   24 Aug-26 Aug 105/105/105
  Media de 90 Días        23 Aug 118

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 22 Aug  007/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 23 Aug  004/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 24 Aug-26 Aug  005/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Aug a 26 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa20%15%20%

All times in UTC

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