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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Aug 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 237 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Aug 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
25/1951Z from Region 3088 (S26W45). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class or X-class flare on days one, two, and
three (26 Aug, 27 Aug, 28 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 512 km/s at 25/1425Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
25/0838Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
25/0549Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 2806 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and three (26 Aug, 28 Aug) and quiet
to unsettled levels on day two (27 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Aug a 28 Aug
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Aug 118 Previsto 26 Aug-28 Aug 120/120/115 Media de 90 Días 25 Aug 118
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Aug 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Aug 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Aug-28 Aug 006/005-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Aug a 28 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 12/12/2025 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| noviembre 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| diciembre 2025 | 128 +36.2 |
| Last 30 days | 108.4 +15.8 |