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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Jul 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 210 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Jul 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at
29/0433Z from Region 3068 (S15E45). There are currently 3 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (30 Jul,
31 Jul, 01 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 394 km/s at 29/0238Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
29/1453Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
29/2013Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 759 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (30 Jul), quiet to active
levels on day two (31 Jul) and quiet levels on day three (01 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Jul a 01 Aug
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Jul 093 Previsto 30 Jul-01 Aug 093/093/090 Media de 90 Días 29 Jul 126
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Jul 009/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Jul 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Jul-01 Aug 007/008-011/012-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Jul a 01 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 50% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
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