Viendo archivo del martes, 30 agosto 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Aug 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 242 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Aug 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
30/0213Z from Region 3088 (S27W0*). There are currently 2 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (31 Aug, 01 Sep,
02 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 682 km/s at 30/1931Z. Total IMF reached 15
nT at 30/1919Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
30/0234Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 334 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (31 Aug) and quiet levels
on days two and three (01 Sep, 02 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Aug a 02 Sep
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Aug 126 Previsto 31 Aug-02 Sep 115/110/110 Media de 90 Días 30 Aug 120
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Aug 013/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Aug 011/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Aug-02 Sep 007/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Aug a 02 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 15% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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