Viendo archivo del domingo, 11 septiembre 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Sep 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 254 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Sep 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C5 event observed at
11/1438Z from Region 3098 (N18W22). There are currently 7 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (12
Sep, 13 Sep, 14 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 511 km/s at 10/2104Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 11/0913Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
11/1824Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 21637 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (12 Sep) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (13 Sep, 14 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Sep a 14 Sep
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Sep 152 Previsto 12 Sep-14 Sep 150/148/143 Media de 90 Días 11 Sep 123
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Sep 010/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Sep 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Sep-14 Sep 006/005-009/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Sep a 14 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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