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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Nov 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 311 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Nov 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a M5 event observed at
07/0011Z from Region 3141 (N14E39). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (08 Nov, 09 Nov, 10 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 429 km/s at 07/1603Z. Total IMF
reached 15 nT at 07/1655Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-14 nT at 07/1658Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 9398 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one, two, and three (08 Nov, 09
Nov, 10 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Nov a 10 Nov
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Nov 135 Previsto 08 Nov-10 Nov 135/130/130 Media de 90 Días 07 Nov 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Nov 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Nov 016/022 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov 011/012-010/012-011/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Nov a 10 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 45% | 45% | 45% |
All times in UTC
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