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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Nov 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 310 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Nov 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
06/1727Z from Region 3141 (N15E50). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 Nov,
08 Nov, 09 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 532 km/s at 06/1527Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 8981 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (07 Nov) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (08 Nov, 09 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Nov a 09 Nov
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Nov 131 Previsto 07 Nov-09 Nov 130/130/125 Media de 90 Días 06 Nov 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Nov 008/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Nov 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov 007/008-011/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Nov a 09 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 40% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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