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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Nov 25 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 329 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Nov 2022

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 25/0722Z from Region 3149 (N22W45). There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (26 Nov, 27 Nov, 28 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 567 km/s at 25/1712Z. Total IMF reached 15 nT at 24/2344Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -13 nT at 25/0735Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 133 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (26 Nov), unsettled to active levels on day two (27 Nov) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (28 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Nov a 28 Nov
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       25 Nov 109
  Previsto   26 Nov-28 Nov 110/110/108
  Media de 90 Días        25 Nov 133

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 24 Nov  006/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 25 Nov  014/018
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 26 Nov-28 Nov  012/012-014/018-011/010

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Nov a 28 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%35%20%
Tormenta Menor10%15%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%10%15%
Tormenta Menor25%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa45%50%30%

All times in UTC

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