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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Dec 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 335 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Dec 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
01/0721Z from Region 3152 (N28W38). There are currently 4 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (02 Dec,
03 Dec, 04 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 685 km/s at 01/0159Z. Total IMF
reached 12 nT at 30/2346Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-10 nT at 01/0905Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 3825 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and three (02 Dec, 04 Dec)
and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (03 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Dec a 04 Dec
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Dec 119 Previsto 02 Dec-04 Dec 120/125/130 Media de 90 Días 01 Dec 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Nov 017/023 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Dec 021/030 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Dec-04 Dec 014/020-011/010-013/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Dec a 04 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 35% | 60% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 08/02/2026 | M1.8 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| febrero 2026 | 137.7 +25.1 |
| Last 30 days | 126 +20.7 |