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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Jan 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 25 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jan 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M4 event observed at
25/1011Z from Region 3190 (S14W89). There are currently 8 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one and two (26 Jan, 27 Jan) and expected to be low with a chance
for M-class flares on day three (28 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 559 km/s at 24/2133Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 25/1756Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
25/1310Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 389 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (26 Jan,
27 Jan, 28 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jan a 28 Jan
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 25% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Jan 172 Previsto 26 Jan-28 Jan 170/165/160 Media de 90 Días 25 Jan 151
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jan 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Jan 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Jan-28 Jan 010/010-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jan a 28 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 20% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
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| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
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| Last 30 days | 119.2 +2.7 |