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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Apr 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 97 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Apr 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
07/0627Z from Region 3272 (S22E63). There are currently 2 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (08 Apr, 09 Apr,
10 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 436 km/s at 07/0200Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 07/0237Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
07/0238Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1577 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (08 Apr, 09 Apr, 10
Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Apr a 10 Apr
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Apr 136 Previsto 08 Apr-10 Apr 140/135/135 Media de 90 Días 07 Apr 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Apr 007/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Apr 009/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Apr-10 Apr 005/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Apr a 10 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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