Viendo archivo del martes, 23 mayo 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 May 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 143 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 May 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M3 event observed at
23/1213Z from Region 3311 (N18E05). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one and two (24 May, 25 May) and likely to be moderate with a
slight chance for an X-class flare on day three (26 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 626 km/s at 23/0257Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 23/0104Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
23/0313Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1236 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (24 May) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (25 May, 26 May). Protons have a
slight chance of crossing threshold on days one and two (24 May, 25 May)
and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day three (26 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 May a 26 May
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 55% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 May 155 Previsto 24 May-26 May 155/155/160 Media de 90 Días 23 May 153
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 May 017/023 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 May 011/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 May-26 May 019/021-011/015-014/016
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 May a 26 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 30% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 04/04/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/04/2026 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2026 | 85.9 +7.7 |
| abril 2026 | 133.3 +47.4 |
| Last 30 days | 96.1 +32 |
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